According to Kurdpress, with the election of the new president of Iraq and the stabilization of the share of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan in this position, one of the most important disputes between the main Iraqi Kurdish parties was closed, but it seems that this development, instead of facilitating the process of forming the new cabinet of the Kurdistan Region, has led to the deepening of political divisions. Political observers believe that while this development may lead to a new agreement in the medium term, it has made the existing deadlock more difficult in the current situation.

The presidency of Iraq; A score outside the agreement

The Iraqi president was elected with the support of the Patriotic Union and its allies, while the Iraqi Kurdistan Democratic Party did not attend the voting session. This matter is very important from the point of view of many analysts, because it shows that this position was obtained without a comprehensive agreement among the main Kurdish currents. As a result, the Democratic Party has lost one of its most important bargaining levers; the leverage that could be part of the bigger deal on power sharing in the negotiations to form the climate cabinet. The Patriotic Union can now argue that the Iraqi presidential case is closed and should not be tied to the negotiations of the regional cabinet.

Dispute over the balance of power

On the other hand, the Democratic Party is unlikely to accept this interpretation. From the point of view of this party, the presidency of Iraq is still a key position that was obtained by a political rival and cannot be separated from the general equation of power between the two parties.

Coalition of Patriotic Union and New Generation

Another important obstacle in the way of forming the cabinet is the proximity of the Patriotic Union with the New Generation movement. The Democratic Party is unlikely to accept that the Patriotic Union enters into negotiations with the new generation as a common block; A block that can become a serious competitor in terms of parliamentary weight. This coalition was formed after Shaswar Abdulwahid, the leader of the new generation, was detained by the forces affiliated with the Patriotic Union for months, and after his release, he quickly approached this party.

The main difference, number of posts or real power?

According to analysts, the main issue in future negotiations is not just the number of ministries that will be handed over to the Patriotic Union, but the actual powers of these positions. The Patriotic Union wants an effective share in the power structure and believes that real participation cannot be limited to handing over ministries with less authority. In this context, positions such as the Ministry of Interior or the head of the Kurdistan Regional Security Council are among the positions that can be a sign of the real division of power.

Continuation of the interim government

After more than a year and a half since the parliamentary elections of the Kurdistan region, the new cabinet has not been formed yet. During this period, Masrour Barzani continues to run the interim government with the full powers of the Prime Minister, and the executive structure of the region has continued to work practically without major changes. This has caused the immediate pressure to reach a political agreement to be reduced and the existing situation to continue for some time.

Future vision

In general, the observers believe that if there is to be an opening in the process of forming the climate cabinet, this will happen only through a real agreement on power sharing. However, such an agreement does not seem imminent in the current situation; The Patriotic Union sees itself in a superior position after winning the presidency of Iraq, and the Democratic Party, which considers itself bypassed and humiliated, is less inclined to score points. For this reason, the election of the president of Iraq in the short term has not only opened a knot in the political crisis of the region, but may have made the process of forming a new cabinet more difficult than in the past.