According to Kurdpress, tensions between Erbil and Baghdad over oil exports have entered a stage beyond a technical dispute. With most of Iraq's oil exports halted, the central government is under severe financial pressure.

In contrast, the climate sees this moment as a pretext. From Erbil's perspective, the current crisis Baghdad to accept structural concessions.

Overall, the Kurdistan Region is in a position where, on the one hand, it has the most bargaining power and, on the other hand, it bears the most risk.